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The Stockdale Paradox

Admniral Stockdale
Jim Collins interviewed Admiral Jim Stockdale, who spent seven years in a North Vietnamese prison. He asked him how he coped. He said, in part:

“Well, you have to understand, it was never depressing. Because despite all those circumstances, I never ever wavered in my absolute faith that not only would I prevail—get out of this—but I would also prevail by turning it into the defining event of my life that would make me a stronger and better person. Not only that, Jim, you realize I’m the lucky one.” I said, “No, I don’t.” He said, “Yes, because I know the answer to how I would do, and you never will.” A little later in the conversation, . . . I asked him who didn’t make it out of those systemic circumstances as well as he had. He said, “Oh, it’s easy. I can tell you who didn’t make it out. It was the optimists.”


I had to think about this man’s comments for some time. On reflection, I do not believe he is suggesting optimism is generally bad. However, when faced with circumstances where insufficient facts allow one to set realistic time frames for one’s hope, depression is far more likely to ensue. Rather, he is accentuating resolve and faith.

The article is a short and great read.